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ARTICLE · 17 SEPTEMBER 2025

An Early Look At 2026 Senate Midterms

Thompson Coburn LLP
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The 2026 Senate midterm elections should be Republicans' to lose with a map that strongly favors the GOP. With a three seat Senate majority and Vice President JD Vance as the tie breaker...

United StatesGovernment, Public Sector
Christopher Murray
Christopher Murray
Jack Jacobson
Jack Jacobson
Tressel Stone
Tressel Stone
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The 2026 Senate midterm elections should be Republicans' to lose with a map that strongly favors the GOP. With a three seat Senate majority and Vice President JD Vance as the tie breaker, Democrats need to pick up four seats to capture the majority. It's a tall order for Democrats, who need to defend an open seat in Michigan and a toss-up in Georgia while toppling at least three Republicans in states President Donald Trump carried in 2024.

Georgia (D)

In Georgia, incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff is the Democrats' most vulnerable incumbent, and Republicans will spend millions supporting his challenger. Georgia Republicans' efforts to unseat him were made more difficult when Governor Brian Kemp opted out of the race, sensing strong Democratic headwinds in a swing state that has trended left. Since Kemp passed on a run, Representatives Buddy Carter and Mike Collins and former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley have officially launched campaigns.

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