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ARTICLE · 23 JANUARY 2023

Assessing A ‘Modern' DCF Valuation

FTI Consulting's Stuart Amor, Jose Alzate and Thomas Maassen authored a chapter for the fifth edition of the Global Arbitration Review's "The Guide to Damages in International Arbitration"...

United StatesEnergy and Natural Resources

Introduction

Following the Tethyan v. Pakistan award,2 where the tribunal awarded US$4.1 billion in damages, there has been increased interest in the 'Modern' DCF valuation approach by some in the arbitration community.

In this chapter, we first explain what is meant by the 'Modern' DCF, being somewhat of a misnomer given that this valuation approach has been discussed in academic circles for decades. We then explain what makes this valuation approach potentially appealing in theory.

In the remainder of the chapter, we explore some relevant factors to consider when evaluating a valuation performed using the 'Modern' DCF approach. First, we consider the challenges in implementing a 'Modern' DCF valuation and, therefore, how the theoretical appeal of this approach can be difficult to exploit in practice. Second, we explain that this method does not appear to be commonly used by market participants to value companies or projects. This is particularly relevant to

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