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ARTICLE · 31 MARCH 2025

The Spring Statement 2025

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The original intention was that this week's Spring Statement was to be a non-event. Rachel Reeves had made it clear that she would do just one fiscal event a year – an autumn budget at which the big decisions.

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The original intention was that this week's Spring Statement was to be a non-event. Rachel Reeves had made it clear that she would do just one fiscal event a year – an autumn budget at which the big decisions on the public finances would be made.

The Office for Budget Responsibility is required to produce an economic and fiscal forecast twice a year, but the spring forecast need not be accompanied by any policy measures. The Chancellor would get to her feet in the House of Commons, announce the OBR's numbers, deliver her economic message and sit down.

It has not quite worked out like that. At her last Budget, Reeves gave herself next to nothing in terms of headroom against her fiscal rules. Unless she was moderately lucky (and she has not been), there was always a good chance that the OBR would declare that her rules were set to be broken. Measures would have to be taken to ensure her rules were complied with. As a consequence, a Labour chancellor is in the

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