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ARTICLE · 25 SEPTEMBER 2012

The Race For The White House

With US election day looming on 6 November, we look at the likely impact of the election on the US economy and the markets.

United KingdomStrategy

How will the US presidential election affect the markets?

With US election day looming on 6 November, we look at the likely impact of the election on the US economy and the markets.

The economy will be a central issue in the forthcoming election race between President Barack Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney and is one of the key dividing lines between the candidates.

Key issues

Broadly speaking, Obama believes in the power of big government, while Romney thinks a smaller state empowers individuals. When it comes to closing the deficit, this means that Obama favours tax increases alongside spending cuts, whereas Romney believes in deeper cuts and lower taxation.

Obama now owns the economic situation, and the election may be determined, to a large extent, by how Americans feel about the recovery on Election Day. Particularly important are the unemployment rate and the price of gasoline, and more specifically the direction these are travelling come

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