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ARTICLE · 04 OCTOBER 2007

Profitability Monitor – 2007 Q2

Our regular assessment of the current state of the profitability of British business and the economic factors influencing its prospects for the future, prepared by Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser to Deloitte.

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Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
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Our regular assessment of the current state of the profitability of British business and the economic factors influencing its prospects for the future, prepared by Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser to Deloitte.

  • The rocketing rate of profitability, up from 15.1% in Q1 to 15.7% in Q2, will help to offset some of the downward pressure on business investment from any tightening of credit conditions. But I expect profits growth to start weakening at the start of next year as economic growth slows.
  • The further rise in annual profits1 growth in Q2 to some 20% is thanks in part to the fact that the economy has recently been running at full steam.
  • GDP has been rising at a robust annual rate of over 3.0%, with the Monetary Policy Committee suspecting that even this is an underestimate of the true rate of growth. And surveys suggest that this momentum has continued into the third quarter.

  • The strength of demand is still giving at least some parts of the economy the confidence to raise their
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