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ARTICLE · 18 FEBRUARY 2011

Economic Update – Rate Rise Would Not Enhance MPC’s Credibility

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is right to resist calls to raise interest rates to defend its credibility.

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Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
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  • The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is right to resist calls to raise interest rates to defend its credibility. Given the huge amount of uncertainty about the underlying strength of both economic growth and inflation, the Committee would be foolish to rush into a premature tightening of policy. Indeed, as the fog clears, it should become clear that interest rates need to remain at an ultra low level indefinitely.
  • Admittedly, with oil prices reaching $100pb and agricultural prices still rising, CPI inflation now looks likely to get above 4% - and possibly close to 5% - within the next few months. What's more, the rebound in the closely watched CIPS/Markit business surveys in January suggests that the economy has bounced back after its dip at the end of last year.

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