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ARTICLE · 21 MAY 2018

Economic Development And Outlook In The UK

The UK is experiencing a period of unprecedented uncertainty. The fundamentals underpinning the UK remain: a globalized outlook, a strong services sector ...

United KingdomStrategy

The UK is experiencing a period of unprecedented uncertainty. The fundamentals underpinning the UK remain: a globalized outlook, a strong services sector, a large, technical manufacturing base and strong rule of law. However, Brexit negotiations, threatened US trade tariffs and other geopolitical issues such as North Korea and Russia are leading to short-term ambiguity in market and political impacts. Among this uncertainty, some areas, such as tech innovation, are thriving.

Economic outlook

Despite inflation being well above official target of 2% and the Bank of England raising its base rate to 0.5% in November 2017, UK growth is projected to remain modest in the near term. Subdued consumer spending growth and confidence, the drag on business investment from ongoing economic and political uncertainty, negative real wage growth and a faltering housing market have had their impact, however, an export boost, largely driven by the weakened pound has allowed stronger

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