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ARTICLE · 11 FEBRUARY 2014

Deloitte Monday Briefing: Gauging The Outlook For Credit Growth

A personal take on economics from Ian Stewart, Deloitte's Chief Economist in the UK.

United KingdomStrategy
  • The financial crisis shook the global banking system and drastically curtailed the supply of credit to consumers and companies. Global credit growth collapsed in 2009/10 and has subsequently continued to contract in the advanced economies.
  • The damage inflicted by the crisis on banks and on their credit-creating capacity has cast a long shadow. Policymakers fret that a lack of bank credit could mean a sickly recovery. Historically credit-less recoveries have tended to be slower than ones accompanied by more vigorous credit growth.
  • Regulators want banks to have stronger balance sheets to protect against the risks of future financial crises. The banks have responded by significantly raising the amount of capital they hold. But different banks operate in different economic and regulatory conditions and, as a result, the process of balance sheet repair has been uneven.

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