Last week was a good one for the 'remain' camp in the
UK's EU referendum campaign. The Treasury published an analysis
of the economics of leaving the UK which concluded that a Brexit
would involve significant net costs for the UK. Later in the week
US President Barack Obama warned that outside the EU the UK would
be "at the back of the queue" for a trade deal with the
US.
But where does public opinion stand?
No opinion polls had, as of Sunday evening, been released which
covered the period following President Obama's comments on the
risks of Brexit. But even before the President's comments the
lead for the remain camp had widened.
Taking an average of the six major polls published up to 19th
April, adjusted for the removal of the 'don't knows',
the remain vote stood at 54% and the 'leaves' at 46%. This
is the widest lead for remain since 23rd February.
