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ARTICLE · 11 MARCH 2019

The Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry – Recent Developments And Prospects

With a population of approximately 186 million as at 2016, Nigeria has an installed capacity of 12,500MW and a meagre available generating capacity hovering around 7,000MW.

NigeriaEnergy and Natural Resources

Introduction

With a population of approximately 186 million as at 20161, Nigeria has an installed capacity of 12,500 MW2 and a meagre available generating capacity hovering around 7,000MW.3 Yet, the Federal Government of Nigeria ("FGN") has set a target to achieve a whooping 20GW of available electricity capacity by the end of the year 2020. A crystal ball is not required to foresee the high possibility of the FGN's inadvertent failure to meet this target where the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry ("NESI") fails to attract the required investment across the entire value chain. Unfortunately, the NESI with its acute challenges such as lack of cost reflective tariffs, huge amount of aggregate technical commercial and collection ("ATC&C") losses, gas supply and infrastructure constraints, under-developed transmission infrastructure, credit worthiness of the major players in the NESI and general value chain misalignment, is currently unappealing to investors. The

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