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ARTICLE · 26 SEPTEMBER 2024

Stepwise Risk Outlook Deep Dive: The US-China Relationship – Prioritizing Stability While Risks Bubble Under The Surface

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As the world's two largest economies, the United States and China are intertwined by deep economic interdependence and strategic rivalry.

GlobalEnergy and Natural Resources

Today's Deep Dive is 1,480 words and a 9-minute read.

As the world's two largest economies, the United States and China are intertwined by deep economic interdependence and strategic rivalry. Following a period of deteriorating relations between 2018 and 2023, this year has marked a critical juncture, where efforts to stabilize bilateral ties are counterbalanced by lingering risks that could easily escalate. Both Washington and Beijing have worked to avoid major confrontations, but tensions continue to simmer under the surface, especially in areas such as the South China Sea, Taiwan, and the global economic order.

As the dynamics of the US-China relationship continues to evolve in the years to come, a thorough analysis of both sides' strategic framework, economic independence, and emerging risks will be crucial for understanding the potential pathways ahead for businesses, particularly those operating in China and the larger Indo-Pacific region.

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