The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) announced that on April 7th it
received more than enough H-1B petitions to reach both the
"regular" cap of 65,000 visas and the advanced-degree cap
of 20,000 for fiscal year 2015 (FY 2015).
USCIS reported that it received about 172,500 FY 2015
cap-subject H-1B petitions. So, what are the odds that your
petition will receive a number under the FY 2015 H-1B cap?
Simple math shows that your chances are about 50/50. The odds
would be slightly better if your petition was for an
advanced-degree professional because advanced-degree cap petitions
which weren't selected to count against the 20,000
advance-degree cap were included in the selection process for
the regular cap. In reality, the odds could be better or
worse. Without knowing how many of the 172,500 petitions were
advanced-degree cap cases, the calculations can't be
refined. We do know that after 20,000 advanced-degree
petitions were counted, there were
