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ARTICLE · 27 APRIL 2021

Crowd Wisdom - The Missing Ingredient In Prediction Markets

If you have a question about a specific topic, who are you best to ask: a recognized expert or John/ Jane Q. Public?

United KingdomFinance and Banking

How can investors benefit from the decentralization of investment platforms

If you have a question about a specific topic, who are you best to ask: a recognized expert or John/ Jane Q. Public?

Well, if you have a question about what's going to happen next in the wild world of financial markets, you may get more accurate predictions by asking a group of ordinary people than from an economist, analyst or even the CEO of Goldman Sachs. The idea that the masses can make surprisingly more accurate collective judgements than expert individuals, is nothing new.

Power in Numbers

James Surowiecki's 2005 book "The Wisdom of Crowds" compellingly illustrated how crowd wisdom works.

Let's travel back to 1906, when Charles Darwin's cousin Francis Galton, a Victorian polymath, was the first to note the wisdom of the crowds at a livestock fair.

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