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ARTICLE · 10 SEPTEMBER 2024

Stepwise Risk Outlook Deep Dive: Shifts In Global Trade Landscape Accelerating Risks Of De-Dollarization

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The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sent immediate shocks around the world, triggering multiple crises, including migration into Europe...

GlobalInternational Law

Today's Deep Dive  is 1,385 words and a 8-minute read.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 sent immediate shocks around the world, triggering multiple crises, including migration into Europe by displaced Ukrainians, global food insecurity and European energy insecurity. Longer term impacts have also unfolded, such as NATO enlargement to deter Russian aggression. Perhaps even more significantly, the global trade landscape shifted as Russia responded to the largest sanction regime ever imposed; Russia sought to avoid economic isolation by reorienting its trade eastward towards countries not enforcing western sanctions. With Russia shut out of the global financial system, the Kremlin has been forced to rely on currencies other than the dollar and the euro. Economists have long considered de-dollarization as a marginal risk, seeing the dollar's standing as the global reserve currency as secure with no real competitor. However, in a period of just over two years,

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