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ARTICLE · 01 SEPTEMBER 2025

Stress-Testing AI Models: A Modern Imperative For Model Risk Management

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are now embedded in the core of banking — powering decisions in credit, fraud, anti-money laundering (AML).

United StatesTechnology

Why Stress-Testing AI Models Matters — Now More Than Ever

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are now embedded in the core of banking — powering decisions in credit, fraud, anti-money laundering (AML), and more. These systems bring scale and speed — but also a new type of risk.

AI models are often black boxes: They learn from data, but under stress — like a downturn, market shock, or regulatory change — they can behave unpredictably. Unlike traditional models, they do not degrade gradually. They can fail fast — misclassifying risk, introducing bias, or generating false positives — which creates reputational, financial, and compliance risk. For example, during COVID-19, many credit underwriting models that had been trained on years of stable economic data suddenly rejected large numbers of qualified borrowers, or conversely underestimated default risk, because they had never encountered pandemic-like conditions in their training history. This

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