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ARTICLE · 09 SEPTEMBER 2010

A Grainy Complexity

Smith & Williamson
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Looking back at the last bull market could offer invaluable advice for the next few years. Coinciding with the start of harvest 2011, the grain markets staged a welcome surge. These spikes have become more common in recent years as the European market has become less managed and more open to global volatility.

United KingdomStrategy
Susan Shaw
Susan Shaw

Looking back at the last bull market could offer invaluable advice for the next few years.

Coinciding with the start of harvest 2011, the grain markets staged a welcome surge. These spikes have become more common in recent years as the European market has become less managed and more open to global volatility.

It is perhaps worth looking back a few years at the last bull market, and seeing what lessons might be drawn. What led to the grain price spike in 2007 and 2008? It was not simply down to unregulated market forces at work, allowing grain stocks to fall which then led to massive price hikes. It was rather more complex. We outline the individual elements to better understand the whole.

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