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ARTICLE · 15 AUGUST 2023

About That Recession…time For A Second Opinion?

For investors, the first half of the year has unfolded quite differently than expected. On the back of an ugly 2022, when stocks and bonds slumped and inflation and interest rates surged...

CanadaReal Estate and Construction

For investors, the first half of the year has unfolded quite differently than expected. On the back of an ugly 2022, when stocks and bonds slumped and inflation and interest rates surged, the January consensus was duck and cover. A recession was widely advertised, with the only question being whether it would hit in the first or second half of the year. Job cuts started piling up and GICs were very, very popular.

Seven months later, things are looking better. Or are they? In a glass half full/half empty world, it might be a good time to get a second opinion on your retirement savings strategy.

THE GOOD NEWS

2023 has been a mixed bag so far. Yes, stock markets and the economic outlook have improved, but with caveats. In the US, a thick slice of the 19% year-to-date gains in the S&P 500 are in the seven tech stocks at the top—Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. Strip out "The Magnificent Seven," though, and the rest of the index shrinks

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