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ARTICLE · 21 DECEMBER 2013

The big picture: the economic outlook

The transition to non-resource drivers of economic growth could be slower and employment growth may remain subdued.

AustraliaStrategy

The transition to non-resource drivers of growth is likely to be slower than previously forecasted. As such employment growth is expected to remain subdued and the Australian economy will lose out on collection of tax receipts.

Economic outlook

Since the 2013 Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Outlook (PEFO) the Budget deficit is now expected to total $123 billion over the forward estimates. A $47 billion deficit is expected in 2013-14, which is 3% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

The Government is committed to taking hard decisions to "live within its means".

Australia is still transitioning from resource-investment led growth to broader sources of growth. However, with the release of the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO), the Government is now expecting this transition to occur slower than previously forecasted. As a result of the transition, real GDP is expected to grow slower at a rate of 2.5% in 2014-15 compared to the announced 3% in the

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