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ARTICLE · 13 APRIL 2012

International Equities - Market Outlook - As at 31 March 2012

Over the quarter ending 31 March 2012, the MSCI World (ex-Aust) Index USD$ rose by 11.08%.

AustraliaStrategy

International Equities

Overview
Over the quarter ending 31 March 2012, the MSCI World (ex-Aust) Index USD$ rose by 11.08%.

In our last update we wrote:

"Until a more comprehensive solution for the Eurozone problems is found we expect global markets to remain directionless. With Europe on the verge of a recession and the prospect of China slowing, it is very difficult to mount a bullish case for global equities despite reasonably attractive valuations."

The rally on global sharemarkets over the quarter shows how wrong we were. What we did not count on was the success of the ECB's Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) where banks were offered cheap loans for 3 years. As stated earlier, the 3 year LTRO had the dual effect of reducing the short term risk of any EZ bank failures and also reducing sovereign bond yields and thus reducing the near term risk of a country default. LTRO's are nothing new – the reason this initiative worked was because of

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