Overview
The MSCI World Index (ex-Aust) in local currency returned 3.40%
over the six months ending 31 December 2014.
MSCI World (ex-Aust) Index
(local currency)
Outlook
Despite a deterioration in the global growth outlook, US
equities reached new highs in December as third quarter economic
growth was subject to a sharp upward revision. Notwithstanding,
company valuations remain stretched despite the positive
fundamentals. The end of Quantitative Easing together with the
prospect of rising interest rates is likely to limit any
sharemarket gains.
European equities are also unattractive. Valuation metrics do
not reflect the very poor economic fundamentals. Valuations in
China appear cheaper, but downside risks to earnings remain
high.