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ARTICLE · 21 JANUARY 2015

Australian Equities

Valuations are not compelling, but we expect demand for equities to stay supported by the low interest rate environment.

AustraliaStrategy

Overview

The ASX 200 Accumulation Index returned 2.50% over the six months ending 31 December 2014

S&P ASX 200 Accumulation Index

Outlook

The outlook for the Australian sharemarket is subdued. From a valuation perspective, the ASX 200 is currently trading close to the long term average (as a multiple of earnings). With the market trading around fair value, an improvement in earnings is required to lift the market higher. Given the current economic conditions, any improvement is likely to be modest and uneven.

Although commodity prices have fallen sharply, we expect the downturn in China to continue, forcing many analysts to further revise profit expectations for the resources sector. Although share prices have already fallen sharply, further falls are likely.

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