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ARTICLE · 07 NOVEMBER 2024

The Fed May Have Actually Pulled Off A Soft Landing

It's becoming more likely that the US Federal Reserve has managed an elusive soft landing, with overall inflation back near the Fed's long-term goal...

United StatesStrategy
Alex Shahidi
Alex Shahidi

It's becoming more likely that the US Federal Reserve has managed an elusive soft landing, with overall inflation back near the Fed's long-term goal of 2% (from a peak of over 9%) without triggering a recession.

This appears against a backdrop of a steadily growing US economy, with:

  • inflation-adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) increasing at an annualized 2.8%, and
  • consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of economic output, increasing by 3.7%.

Barring unexpected shocks from the US election or other geopolitical events, we should expect to see another quarter-percentage point reduction in the benchmark interest rate at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting this Thursday. A moderate reduction in interest rates will further help to fuel steady growth in the US economy.

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The content of this article is intended to provide a general guide to the subject matter. Specialist advice should be sought about your specific circumstances.

The content of this article is intended to provide a general guide to the subject matter. Specialist advice should be sought about your specific circumstances.

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