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ARTICLE · 26 MARCH 2026

The CFTC, Prediction Markets And Event Contracts: Setting The Stage

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On March 12, 2026, the CFTC issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking (the “Request”) seeking public comment on event contracts traded on prediction markets.

United StatesFinance and Banking

Key Takeaways

  • Prediction markets have exploded in popularity in recent months, and the CFTC has taken notice.
    • In recent months, the CFTC has issued an advance notice of proposed rulemaking seeking comment on event contracts traded on DCMs, withdrawn previously proposed amendments to a rule prohibiting certain event contracts and filed an amicus brief asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over event contracts traded on DCMs.
    • CFTC staff have published a request for comment on direct clearing for retail participants (an issue central to the plumbing of event contract DCMs and DCOs). The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight and Division of Enforcement have each issued a staff advisory in connection with event contracts traded on DCMs.

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