On Feb. 6, the Federal Reserve Board released the hypothetical
scenarios for the 2020 stress test exercises, which ensure that
large banks have adequate capital and processes to continue lending
to households and businesses even during a severe recession. The
harshest scenario includes a severe global recession with
heightened stresses in corporate debt markets and commercial real
estate, and for banks with large trading operations, additional
pressure on leveraged loans.
The Board’s stress test framework consists of the
Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review, also known as CCAR, and
the Dodd-Frank Act stress tests. Both exercises have been a
cornerstone of the Board’s post-crisis framework for large
banks, and this year’s stress tests will evaluate 34 large
banks with more than $100 billion in total assets. The stress tests
include two hypothetical scenarios: baseline and severely adverse.
The severely adverse scenario this year features a severe