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ARTICLE · 19 MAY 2008

Investment Outlook - April 2008

The turmoil in credit markets reached a crescendo in March, with the Fed-orchestrated rescue of Bear Stearns in the USA and shocking losses at UBS in Switzerland.

United KingdomStrategy

World Markets

Pulling Out All The Stops

The turmoil in credit markets reached a crescendo in March, with the Fed-orchestrated rescue of Bear Stearns in the USA and shocking losses at UBS in Switzerland. Investor sentiment, however, had become so depressed, and cash balances so high that even a modest improvement in mood was sufficient to trigger a powerful short-term rally. Whether it can be sustained through the summer doldrums is open to question, given the clear signs of global economic slowdown, and IMF estimates of losses and write-downs from the credit crisis totalling $945bn. Investors can take comfort from the fact that these losses are spread across the world, rather than concentrated in a single country, as was the case in the Japanese crisis of the early 1990s. The leading central banks are also coordinating their approach to the crisis. Furthermore, private equity investors are now

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