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ARTICLE · 21 APRIL 2010

Economic Update – MPC on Hold Until Inflation Starts to Fall

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is still waiting to see how the effects of its past asset purchases pan out. But based on the evidence so far, I think that the Committee will only be disappointed.

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Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
Roger Bootle, Economic Adviser, Deloitte
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  • The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is still waiting to see how the effects of its past asset purchases pan out. But based on the evidence so far, I think that the Committee will only be disappointed. Anyone expecting interest rates to rise before the end of the year is barking up the wrong tree. As the economic recovery starts to struggle, I expect a further loosening of monetary policy.
  • Having left interest rates and its programme of asset purchases unchanged again this month, the Committee clearly remains in wait and see mode. What's more, its concerns about loosening policy further while inflation is so far above target are likely to keep the MPC on hold for a while longer, particularly given the added uncertainty due to the general election.

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