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ARTICLE · 17 SEPTEMBER 2013

Deloitte Monday Briefing: Assessing The Outlook For Growth

The Monday Briefing, written by Ian Stewart, Deloitte's Chief Economist in the UK, gives a personal view on topical financial and economic issues.

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Deloitte Monday Briefing: Assessing the Outlook for Growth

* A London taxi driver told me last week that in his ten hours of ferrying people around London the previous day his average speed had been 8.4mph. This is slower than a horse or a bicycle and even slower than the 9mph average speed recorded by TfL in Central London at the start of this year. The cabbie blamed increasing levels of traffic, a rash of new building projects and Crossrail for the slowdown.

* We love obscure economic indicators and this one suggests that, in London, at least, activity is picking up. But on a less parochial level, what are the prospects for recovery?

* Things certainly have changed in the last six months. Financial markets now believe that a gathering recovery will force the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in 2013, much earlier than had been expected at the start of this year. The previously moribund UK housing market

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