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ARTICLE · 30 SEPTEMBER 2026

Artificial Intelligence: Opportunity, Risk, And A Question Bigger Than Markets

Goldman Sachs projects AI-related investment will exceed $1 trillion in 2026, with infrastructure, software, and second-order beneficiaries presenting clear opportunities.

ItalyStrategy

AI has moved from research lab to the centre of global capital allocation faster than almost any technology before it. Goldman Sachs Research projects worldwide AI-related investment will exceed $1 trillion in 2026, with about $581 billion of that in the US alone. At 2-5% of GDP, this peak intensity is comparable to prior general-purpose technology buildouts — railways, electrification, the internet — though compressed into a far shorter timeframe.

Where the opportunity lies

The clearest opportunity is infrastructure: chipmakers, power and grid companies, and data-centre suppliers behind AI’s physical build-out. A second lies in software and services companies genuinely embedding AI and showing measurable productivity gains, rather than simply attaching the label. A third is second-order: healthcare, logistics, and financial services benefiting from AI-driven efficiency without being “AI plays” themselves. For cross-border clients, diversified

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