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ARTICLE · 20 FEBRUARY 2017

Africa's Demographic Dividend

History has often illustrated the power of the maxim, coined by the French socialist thinker, Auguste Comte, that "Demography is destiny".

GlobalInternational Law

History has often illustrated the power of the maxim, coined by the French socialist thinker, Auguste Comte, that "Demography is destiny". The post war baby boom helped drive growth in Europe and North America through the 1950s and 1960s. In the 1970s Asia enjoyed similar, population-driven, gains.

History also shows that Comte's dictum could, more accurately, but less elegantly, be rendered as, "Demography and policy are destiny". To realize the potential of an expanding population a country needs to invest in education and infrastructure, and to have sound government.

While Asia largely got these things right in the 1970s, Latin America, which saw similar population growth, did not. Recent research by the International Monetary Fund shows that poor policy and insufficient investment hindered Latin America's ability to benefit from a growing population.

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