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ARTICLE · 28 NOVEMBER 2017

My Thoughts On The Budget

Last week's Autumn Statement was billed by many as the "Brexit budget". With the next one due to take place just four months before the UK officially leaves the EU, this was perhaps the last opportunity ...

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Last week's Autumn Statement was billed by many as the "Brexit budget". With the next one due to take place just four months before the UK officially leaves the EU, this was perhaps the last opportunity for the Chancellor to make funding decisions that will take effect on the UK economy before Brexit.

This Budget was also set against a backdrop of 17 months' economic data that shows how Brexit is impacting - so whilst the Chancellor stated early in his speech that it was "about much more than Brexit", clearly the measures announced will be viewed in a Brexit context.

The latest OBR forecast predicts average UK GDP growth of 1.4% until 2021, which is noticeably behind the Euro area and Brexit has undoubtedly contributed to the slowdown. However, the latest downward revisions by the OBR were predominately based on the UK's consistently weak productivity, which has long lagged behind that of other major economies. In our Power Up report, we talked about Brexit as a

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