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ARTICLE · 03 JUNE 2026

Private Credit At A Crossroads

GGI | Global Alliance
GGI | Global Alliance
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Private credit has surged from $150 billion to nearly $2 trillion in assets under management over two decades, but this explosive growth is now facing unprecedented scrutiny as higher interest rates, AI disruption concerns, and high-profile bankruptcies test the resilience of an asset class that flourished in the post-2008 regulatory void.

United StatesFinance and Banking

Private credit, also referred to as non-bank lending, and most visibly “direct lending”, to private-equity-backed companies, has grown from roughly USD 150 billion in assets under management two decades ago to nearly USD 2 trillion today. This explosive expansion is now drawing scrutiny from Wall Street, regulators, and ordinary investors alike.

How we got here

The asset class flourished after the 2008 financial crisis, when tightened bank regulation left a financing void for small and mid-sized businesses. Direct lenders stepped in with flexible, customised loans at attractive yields. Ultra-low interest rates through 2021 amplified returns, and capital poured in from institutions, insurance companies, and eventually retail investors through business development companies (BDCs).

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