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ARTICLE · 25 NOVEMBER 2019

Notes On Brexit

Finance Malta
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The Tories are well ahead in the polls with a lead over Labour of up to 10%. In normal circumstances, that would easily give the Tories an overall majority.

MaltaGovernment, Public Sector
Finance Malta
Finance Malta
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  • The Tories are well ahead in the polls with a lead over Labour of up to 10%. In normal circumstances, that would easily give the Tories an overall majority.
  • The Tory strategy – to unite all the Brexit voters – is also politically sensible. If they can see off the Brexit Party and bring in Brexit supporting Labour voters, they should win.
  • Also the Remainers are divided. Labour's policy of trying to split the difference is difficult to explain.
  • However there are a number of reasons why the Tories may not do as well as they should.
  • First, they have already written off a number of seats. They accept that they will lose seats in Scotland and London. Ruth Davidson's demise has left the Scottish Tories much weaker, although they may continue to benefit as the most vocal pro-Union party. London Tory voters – particularly in their heartlands of Richmond, Wimbledon, Kensington and Chelsea – are overwhelmingly Remain and, as they showed in the 2017 general election

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